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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 16 June 2026 by the Canada Perspective Weather Desk. Data from Environment and Climate Change Canada and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Keep an umbrella handy in Toronto today as the live forecast above shows a mix of sun and cloud with a chance of showers, typical for a spring day near Lake Ontario. The lake breeze keeps conditions cooler along the waterfront compared to inland neighbourhoods.
What is driving today’s weather pattern?
A low-pressure system moving east across southern Ontario is pulling moisture off Lake Ontario, creating the unsettled conditions. Residents from Etobicoke to Scarborough can expect variable cloud cover, with the best chance of rain arriving mid-to-late afternoon. Winds remain light from the southwest, shifting to the northwest this evening as the system clears.
How does this compare to seasonal norms?
Toronto’s average high for this date sits near 12°C, so the live forecast above aligns closely with what is typical for mid-spring. The lake effect keeps temperatures a few degrees cooler near the shore than in northern suburbs like Vaughan or Markham. Overnight lows should dip to around 5°C, so a light jacket is advisable for evening walks.
Will the rain last all day in Toronto?
No, the showers are expected to be intermittent, with the heaviest activity between 2 p.m. and 6 p.m. Skies should clear partially by late evening, leaving a dry overnight period.
Is today a good day for outdoor plans?
It depends on timing. Morning hours offer the best window for outdoor activities, but keep an eye on the live forecast above for shifting shower bands. Afternoon plans may need a backup indoor option.
How does Lake Ontario affect Toronto’s weather today?
The lake moderates temperatures, keeping the city cooler than inland areas during warm spells and slightly warmer during cold snaps. Today, the lake breeze adds a damp chill near the waterfront.
Sources
For a broader look at conditions across the country, visit the Canada weather hub. For more details on Toronto’s forecast, check the Toronto Weather page. If you are planning travel, the Ottawa Weather page may also be useful.